【PDCA日記 Vol. 720「撤退のタイミングと固定費削減」】
＜ Mr. PDCAのボンジュール英語「総力戦」 = 「total war」＞
I answered that "I was constantly conscious of the timing of withdrawal and fixed cost reduction".
When I was self-employed, I decided in advance that "I will stop my business If I cannot make profits for 2 consecutive years" (Fortunately, my business was profitable from the first year :-).
Regarding the reduction of fixed costs, I was always remembering stories of my family and relatives who were facing challenges when they started their own businesses.
In my case, my older brother is running an advertising agency, my younger sister and brother are owners of the Italian restaurant, and my cousin has a second-hand bookstore, but all of them were saying that they were struggling fixed costs such as store fees, etc.
Since I was providing a project management consulting service, the real shop was unnecessary.
I could get in the office of the client and this was a major reason for turning it into profitable from the first year, because I didn't have to pay fixed costs for renting stores.
Also, when I was doing business alone, "Commuting time" was a fixed cost as well, so I limited the client bases only in central Tokyo area, and this strategy worked well and it was one of the reasons my business went well from the beginning.
The material to be introduced today, "The Defeat in the Summer of 1941 (Japanese only)" is the book that I was referring to when I was self-employed.
Prior to the World War II, the Japanese government established a think tank called the "Total War Research Institute" directly reporting to the Prime Minister.
The Total War Research Institute consists of young people selected from government agencies and private companies and simulated the World War II.
In the summer of 1941, which was a few months before the war started, the then Prime Minister and the Army Minister received the following report from the Total War Research Institute.
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· In case of opening the war, Japan can be advanced only 1 years, but in 2 or 3 years the difference in national strength becomes clear from the U.S.
· Even if oil can be acquired abroad, it is impossible for Japan to take control of the maritime power, and oil does not reach Japan.
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It was a surprisingly accurate prediction and the battlefield went on as reported by the Total Warfare Research Institute.
It is the Russo-Japanese War to be compared with the World War II, because the Japanese leaders during the Russo-Japanese War (1904-1905) were said that they always considered the timing of withdrawal "How can we end the war?"
In the last part of this book, it is introduced that the events were held every summer at the Togo Memorial Hall in Harajuku, Tokyo to discuss the theme "How could Japan have won the war?"
It is unknown that whether this event is still going on or not, but I'm curious what kind of discussion was being held.
Another interesting thing when reading this book was that the researchers who created the report at the Total War Research Institute subsequently "did not become a politician as one".